June Primary Analysis

The California June Primary is in a little under three weeks, which means it’s probably time to crack open that sample ballot and start doing some analyzing. Some ground rules going in:

  1. I’m a registered Democrat, which means less than it did before this election year, with the change in California balloting, but it also means I’ve only got one candidate for president on my ballot;
  2. I’m a Humphrey Democrat, meaning I feel one of the functions of government is to do good for people–this is probably a bit different from where the Democratic party is these days, but the Republicans of these days aren’t the Republicans of 1968 either;
  3. I believe that government should not be intruding in people’s personal lives–so if a candidate believes that they must impose a particular religion’s mores on me, they won’t get my vote;
  4. I believe that it is the job of the legislatures to do what is best for the country, and not necessarily their party. This means they must be willing to compromise and find a middle ground. This means, apriori, I will not support any candidate who will never consider a tax increase or supports Grover Nordquist’s pledge. A responsible household looks to both increasing income and reducing expenses.
  5. I tend to support what is referred to derogatorily as “Obamacare”. It is far from perfect, but it is probably the best we can get as long as the large insurance players are in the picture and we have employer-provided health care.

So, with that said, let’s go through the ballot, ignoring the Presidential primary (because I only have one candidate, who I support anyway), and the party central committee, because I have no idea who any of those people are anyway. Also note that this is the first test of the “open primary”, meaning we have tons and tons of candidates, and the top two in terms of total vote go on to the general election.

  • United States Senator.  Here we have 24, yes, 24, candidates: 6 Democrats, 14 Republicans, 2 Peace and Freedom, 1 Libertarian, and 1 American Independent. Let’s start with the Dems: Dianne Feinstein is the current senator. She’s done a reasonable job, but has been pretty partisan.  Running against her are Colleen Shea Fernald, the “candidate  for peace”–reasonable positions but no experience to speak of; David Alex Levitt, whose main emphasis is the end of the prohibition on medical marijuana; Mike Strimling, whose main emphasis is taxing the rich; Diane Stewart, whose focus appears to be rebuilding communities and legalizing marijuana; and Nak Shah, who doesn’t appear to have his own website. Turning to the Republicans: Some we can eliminate right away, such as Orly Taitz, who lives in a world where Barak Obama was born in Kenya. Looking at the others: Elizabeth Emken, who is out based on #3; Rick Williams, who claims to be a radical conservative like Ron Paul and says there will never been new taxes (out based on #4); Rogelio T. Gloria, who doesn’t give a lot of detail on his positions other than to support the military and call to abolish the Dept. of Energy; Robert Lauten, who wants to restore Glass-Steagal (good) and reestablish a Hamiltonian National Bank (bad)… with no other positions; Al Ramirez, who is out based on #3 (“protect traditional marriage and the life of the unborn”); Dirk Allen Konopik, who puts “Christian” on the front page of his website and wants to promote American’s Christian heritage (this guy is scary); Donald Krampe, who doesn’t have a lot of positions on his website, but what he has seems reasonable; Nachum Shifren, apparently Orthodox Jewish, but doesn’t put any positions on his website; Dennis Jackson, who does not believe in multinational treaties; Dan Hughes, who is for the 9-9-9 plan and traditional marrage (out on #3); Greg Conlon, who tends to have reasonable positions as well, although doesn’t cover everything on his site; John Boruff, who among other things, is antiabortion; and Oscar Alejandro Braun, whose sole focus is water issues. As for the rest: Marsha Feinland (P&F), who wants to cut all aid to Israel; Kabiruddin Karim Ali (P&F), who is pretty much anti-Defense; Don J. Grundmann (AI), who is anti-gay, anti-IRS, and anti-Fed; and Gail K. Lightfoot, who is a basic libertarian (and thus anti-tax). That’s a lot of candidates to sift through. So I’m cutting out the 3rd parties as they all have positions I don’t like in one way, shape or form; and the lesser Democratic candidates, because they won’t beat Dianne Feinstein. Most Republicans are out as well — the only reasonable ones are Krampe and Conlon. So it boils down to Feinstein, Krampe, and Conlon.

    Conclusion: Right now, I’m leaning towards Feinstein, but I need to research the other two more.

  • United States Representative (30th District). This is the big battle: Howard Berman (D) vs. Brad Sherman (D) vs. a number of other people. I say this because both Berman and Sherman are incumbants, well-liked, well-respected, in a strongly democratic district. This is the case of  “I’d vote the bum out… but I don’t have a bum to vote out”. The other candidates really don’t have a chance, but let’s look at them: Vince Gilmore (D), who calls himself a “constitutional democrat” and who wants no federal tax on any citizen; Susan Shelley (R), a moderate Republican who is liberal on social issues; Mark Reed (R), who believes climate change is a hoax; Navraj Singh (R), who characterizes the Affordable Care Act as Socialistic (demonstrating he doesn’t understand what socialism is); and Michael W. Powelson (G), who doesn’t have his own webpage. Of these, the battle is really between Berman, Sherman, and Shelley, although Singh has the market on street corner signs. Given their positions, you wouldn’t go wrong with Berman, Sherman, or Shelley, although Shelley would have no influence or seniority. The edge on that goes to Berman. Berman also didn’t photoshop his mom out of pictures sent to non-Jews.

    Conclusion: Howard Berman

  • State Senator (27th District). This is easier: one Democrat (Fran Pavley, a CSUN graduate who wants to lower CS and UC tuition), and one Republican (Todd Zink, whose positions also seem reasonable). Both have reasonable positions; I’m giving the edge to Pavley simply because I’m tired of having a Repulican as my state senator (which is what I’ve had for years).

    Conclusion: Fran Pavley

  • State Assembly (45th District). Again, only two candidates: Bob Blumenfield (D) vs. Chris Kolski (R). Kolski, although he’s an EE (+) and a UCLA grad (+), is campaigning on an anti-Waxman platform (I like Waxman) and is for returning to the gold standard (bad idea).

    Conclusion: Bob Blumenfield

  • Superior Court Judges. Six different offices. I always find it difficult to sort these out. Looking at the Times endorsements, they like Sean Coen for Office 3, Andrea C. Thompson for Office 65, and Eric Harmon for Office 114. I can’t see any flaws in their logic. For the other offices, I see no reason to vote out the incumbants.

    Conclusion: #3-Coen, #10-Kumar, #38-Olson, #65-Thompson, #78-Otto, and #114-Harmon.

  • LA County District Attorney. Six candidates: Bobby Grace, Jackie Lacey, Carmen Trutanich, Alan Jackson, Danette E. Meyers, and John L. Breeault III. Of these, the two leaders are Lacey and Trutanich. Lacey is endorsed by local papers, Berman, Steve Cooley. Trutanich is endorsed by Jerry Brown, Brad Sherman, loads of politicians, and law enforcement.  I’d rather leave Trutanich at the LA City level, as he indicated originally he didn’t plan to run for higher office.

    Conclusion: Jackie Lacey

  • Proposition #28: Changing Term Limits. In general, I think what we’ve done in the past for term limits didn’t work. We created folks who were just running for office. This appears to fix the problem.

    Conclusion: Yes on 28

  • Proposition #29: Additional Tax on Cigarettes for Cancer Research. Much as I’m in favor of additional taxes, I don’t like this one. This creates an additional bureaucracy to administer things, and does more tying of specific income to specific purposes. I’m not sure we need this.

    Conclusion: No on 29.

  • LA County Measure H: Continue Hotel Occupancy Tax. This is a major source of revenue that is already in place. I see no reason not to continue it.

    Conclusion: Yes on H

  • LA County Measure L: Landfill Tax Continuation Measure. Again, continuation of an existing tax on landfill operators to fund general fund services. No reason not to continue it.

    Conclusion: Yes on L

So there you have it. Pretty clear positions on most offices, except senator. There I like Feinstein, but might be convinced to go for Krampe or Conlon.  As always, feel free to convince me why your position is better.

Music: Stan Freberg Presents The United States Of America, Volume II, The Middle Years (Stan Freberg): Madison, Jefferson, Franklin & Osbourne (Part 2)

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Friday Miscellany: Crown Vics, Different Views for the Jews, Ice Cream Burgers, Chocolate Chips and more to chew on

It’s Friday at lunch, and you know what that means: time to clear out the links to give you something to chew on…

Music: Bring In The Noise, Bring in the Funk (Original Cast): The Uncle-Huck-a-Buck-Song

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Drive-By/Drive-On Post

News Flash: Birthers want proof Mitt Romney was born in America.

Drive-On Post: It now looks like Erin’s top choice will be UC Berkeley. We’ve never done a visit to the school, although we’ve been in Berkeley many times. We have theatre tickets Friday night, so we’re thinking about a ROAD TRIP: leave around 5am Saturday morning. Tour Berkeley in the afternoon. Drive home in the evening. Good thing we’ll have two drivers!

 

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Another Themeless Day: Clearing Clutter, Space Cases, and Things that are Hidden

Continuing our trend of a themeless lunchtime news chum week, here are a few articles to ponder over as you eat your healthy salad:

Music: The Great Works of Vivaldi (Hanseatic Baroque Orchestra): The Four Seasons: Autumn

 

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Drive By Posting: Some Quick Political Thoughts

Interesting: Pollsters are calling for Obama to drop out of the campaign, and for the Democrats to draft Hilary instead. The pollsters believe if President Obama were to withdraw he would put great pressure on the Republicans to come to the table and negotiate — especially if the president singularly focused in the way we have suggested on the economy, job creation, and debt and deficit reduction. Further, they note that Clinton would stand a better chance at winning in 2012 because she enjoys her best-ever approval rating and is favored over Republican candidates Mitt Romney and Rick Perry in a Time magazine poll. ETA: Here’s the actual opinion piece from the pollsters.

ETA: Lest you think voting Republican is an option… I normally don’t tend to agree with Michael Medved, even though I went to school with his brother and they lived just up the street. However, in this opinion piece in USA Today, Michael Medved does make one correct point: Most non-Orthodox Jews are more turned off by politicians who state they put Christianity first, or that the US is a clearly Christian nation, they they are turned on by a politician who publically states support for Israel. That’s certainly true for me. All the Republican candidates out there who are fighting to be the most Christian truly scare me. I know the US will stand by Israel, because they are a reliable democracy in the Middle East. I don’t trust the strong Christian politicians to share my values, and let me live by my values, because their track record shows they want to impose their values upon me. [… and a note to my more Christian friends: this doesn’t mean I have anything against Christianity. I feel that everyone should have the ability to practice their religion, free from the interference of government imposing particular religious values.]

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Something to Chew On

I call my link posts “news chum” because I want them to be like chum in the water, drawing out commentors to fresh meat. Now, with that fresh in your mind, here’s some lunch-time news chum related to food, plus some other stuff to chew on…

  • Rethinking the Package. Everyday, when I get my salad for lunch, I make my own dressing: olive oil, balsamic vinegar, and mustard. Our cafeteria used to have squeeze bottles of mustard, but now only has those impossible to open packets. That may change. Heinz is redesigning the condiment packaging (specifically, for ketchup) to move from the squeeze packet to (a) something that holds more (3 x more), and (b) something that can be used to dip. Looking at the picture of the new packaging, I think this will be quite an improvement. Wendy’s will be introducing them later this year and they’re in the testing stage at McDonald’s and Burger King.
  • Rethinking the Burger. Burgers have also been in the news. Wendy’s has just redesigned their burgers to try to improve sales. The new burger, Dave’s Hot and Juicy, has lots of little tweaks. They switched to whole-fat mayonnaise, nixed the mustard, and cut down on the pickles and onions, all to emphasize the flavor of the beef. They switched to red onions and crinkled pickles. They also started storing the cheese at higher temperatures so it would melt better, a change that required federal approval. It also features extra cheese, a thicker beef patty, and a toasted buttered bun. Many suggestions sounded good but didn’t ring true with tasters. They tried green-leaf lettuce, but people preferred to keep iceberg for its crunchiness. They thought about making the tomato slices thicker but decided they didn’t want to ask franchisees to buy new slicing equipment. They even tested a round burger, a trial that was practically anathema to a company that’s made its name on square burgers. Wendy’s ultimately did not go with the round shape, but changed the patty to a “natural square,” with wavy edges, because tasters said the straight edges looked processed. They also started packing the meat more loosely, trained grill cooks to press down on the patties two times instead of eight, and printed “Handle Like Eggs” on the boxes that the hamburger patties were shipped in so they wouldn’t get smashed. And Wendy’s researchers knew that customers wanted warmer and crunchier buns, so they decided that buttering them and then putting them through a toaster was the way to go.

    Not to be outdone, Carl’s Jr. has introduced what they call the “Steakhouse Burger”. It features a Black Angus beef patty, smothered with A.1. steak sauce, Swiss cheese and crumbled blue cheese, crispy onion strings and the standard lettuce, tomatoes and mayonnaise. Commercials will feature the “god of hamburgers.” Dubbed Hamblor, the deity is, in true Carl’s Jr. fashion, surrounded by skimpily dressed women.

  • Rethinking Theater Snacks. Are you a popcorn eater when you go to the movie theater? Some eat because they like fresh popcorn. Some eat out of habit. A recent survey showed that regular theatergoers at the same amount of popcorn, whether it was fresh or stale. Specifically, in a project conducted and funded by Duke University, researchers sent 98 people to a theater on the pretense they were participating in a study about what draws consumers to movies. They gave everyone boxes of popcorn. Some boxes had popcorn made an hour earlier; others had the week-old snack. People who rarely or only occasionally eat popcorn at movies stayed away from the stale sample, eating much more of the fresh snack. The moviegoers who always eat popcorn in the theater, however, were different. They ate the same amount, irrespective of whether it was fresh or stale.
  • Rethinking the Cafeteria. Major remodeling is coming to Clifton’s Brookdale in DTLA (that’s “downtown LA”, for those not in the know). The cafeteria is closing for a $3mil, 3-6 mo remodeling. Although the dining areas will retain their kitschy forest-theme, there will be a new kitchen (where equipment dated from 1915-1949), a new cafeteria line layout, upgraded plumbing and electrical, a new facade, as well as adding a small, tiki-themed bar in the basement and a third-floor speakeasy reached via a hidden entrance on the main floor.
  • Rethinking Fresh. I mentioned this one yesterday, but fear it got lost. Fast Company has a very nice article on how Whole Foods convinces you their food is uber-fresh. What looks like chalk signs from the farmers who just pulled up are actually mass-produced signs from a factory. Ice is everywhere, and vegetables are dripping with water—all creating the “fresh from the field” impression (never mind the fact this makes the vegetables rot faster). Bananas are displayed at just the right color to get you to buy. Manipulation is everywhere, friends.

And speaking of manipulation and food for thought, two political things. USA Today has a supposed fact check about how the rich pay more taxes. Remember: there are lies, damn lies, and statistics. The rich do often pay more money. Does this indicate a higher rate? Depends how you look at it. The rich do pay a higher rate on earned income, but a much lower rate on capital gains and investment income. So it all depends on how they get their money and shelter their money. Now, is it wrong for the government to want more income? Not really; your family would if they were in dire straights. The difference is that you know the efficiency of your family: you know you have cut to the bone, and therefore need more money. Given the size of government, it is impossible for them to convince people they have cut to the bone; therefore, there will be people who object to more taxes while more cuts are possible. This is why the political game is so hard.

Another political thing: Obama’s election odds keep slipping. I’ve already seen one editorial calling for Obama to withdraw as a candidate. It has happened before: Lyndon Johnson chose not to run for reelection in 1968 because he knew he couldnt’ win. The question is: If Obama withdrew and another Democratic candidate emerged, could the Democrats retain the White House? It is certainly an interesting scenario to think about.

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What I Want

Today I got a letter from the Barack Obama campaign, asking me if I wanted to purchase an “Obama 2012” bumper magnet. I read this while eating lunch, and this is what I wanted to write back in response:

Dear President Obama:

Much as I would like to call myself one of your supporters in 2012, I can’t. Yet. This is not to say that I support any of the current crop of Republican candidates. I don’t and can’t, given their stances and statements. But although I like your ideas and proposals, you haven’t shown the leadership ability, the persuasiveness, and the political skills to get those who don’t agree with you to compromise for the sake of the country. You’ve moved in their direction with few concessions from their side, as opposed to moving both sides to the middle. We need someone with those skills.

So, Mr. President, what would like like to see in a candidate in 2012? Here’s a short list:

First, I’d like a Democratic candidate. I’m sorry to say this, but the Republican party of late has shown themselves as a party that is working (I want to say “pandering”) to specific special interests—the “Tea Party”, the religious right, the wealthy—and often subbornly putting those interests in front of the good of the rest of the country. The Democratic party does that to some extent as well, but at least they seem to be more willing to attempt to listen and compromise.

I’d like a candidate that recognizes that all must sacrifice equally in this present environment. I recognize the need to cut services and support due to the budget. But we can’t just cut; we need to work that second job and bring in more income. This means taxing the wealthy a bit more, and reworking the tax code to eliminate the games that Wall Street likes to play. The simplest solution might be to require Wall Street Corporations to pay tax on the earnings they report to the Street, not the earnings they report to the IRS.

I’d like a candidate that believes in fairness. Shared sacrifice is one example of this. It also means that folks near “the power” shouldn’t be able to get away with things just because they are near the power. We need the tax code to be applied fairly. Yes, that means we need a sales tax for sales on the Internet that goes to the states for sales that occur in those states. This was on the books as a “use tax” in the mail order era, but was hard to enforce. We have computers. We can easily do this, and it will help our states quite a bit.

I’d like a candidate that agrees with the values of the founders—formalize religion does not belong in politics. Religion is not something to be worn on the sleeve or talked about in a speach. It is a personal thing. It is not the place of the government to be legislating morality, other than to make the wide variety of choices believed by people in this great country legal.

I’d like a candidate that values the same things I do: Education. The Arts. Science. This doesn’t necessarily mean direct government support, but tweaking of the tax code could have equivalent effects, such as providing greater deductability for donations to Universities, Arts Organizations, and Scientific Foundations than for donations to religious organizations, especially those that do not use those donations for real charatible works, but rather use the donations to support staff and executives.

I’d like a candidate that believes in defending our country—in a smart manner. This means we invest our defense funds in modern technology for the next war, not approaches from the last war. This includes investments in space and cyberdefense. This means defending our borders not with fences and security theatre, but with techniques that work—and economic approaches that make people want to follow legal approaches to entering this country.

I’d like a candidate that recognizes and rewards hard work. With respect to those that have entered illegally in the past, I’m willing to be more leinent if they have been working, have been contributing, and plan to keep doing so. These are the values that made this country, and those are the people we want.

I’d like a candidate that believes we have a responsibility to repair our corner of the world. This means ensuring there is some form of a safety net for the poorest of our citizens. This means ensuring affordable healthcare. I’m not sure the current approach mistakenly called Obamacare is the best, but it is a start. Even more, the government needs to work on setting acceptable price ranges for medical services as a first step to controlling costs.

I’d like a candidate that recognizes the importance of our infrastructure. Whether it be the physical infrastructure such as roads and bridges—which are vital to commerce—or our electronic infrastructure—which is also vital to commerce: both need to be maintained and protected as national assets.

I’d like a candidate that recognizes the value of strategic investments. Education of our youth is just one. Appropriate emerging technologies is another, as is sciences. America’s greatness has always come from its innovations. More importantly, though, is that we need a candidate that can convince others of the value of those investments as well. Mr. Obama—that’s been one of your problems. You’ve got the idea to invest in the right places. You just can’t convince others to go along.

I’d like a candidate that believes scientific evidence. Yes, that means recognizing that climate change (mistakenly called “global warming”) is happening. Engineers know that anticipating the problem early and planning for it is much more cost effective than trying to reactively address the problem. We need to be ahead of the curve on this one.

Those are just some of the things I would like in a candidate. So, Mr. Obama, your email indicates you want my vote. Become the man we thought you would be.

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Nuances

A quick lunchtime news chum, based on some articles that keep sticking in my head:

  • Politics vs. Government. Last night, I read a nice piece in the LA Times about Obama’s recent speeches and how it may reflect his upcoming reelection strategy. One statement of Obama’s is really sticking with me:

    “You’ll hear a lot of folks, by the way, say that government is broken,” he said at his first stop in Cannon Falls. “Well, government and politics are two different things. Government is our troops who are fighting on our behalf in Afghanistan and Iraq. That’s government. Government are also those FEMA folks when there’s a flood or a drought or some emergency who come out and are helping people out. That’s government. Government is Social Security. Government are teachers in the classroom. Government are our firefighters and our police officers, and the folks who keep our water clean and our air clean to breathe, and our agricultural workers. And when you go to a national park, and those folks in the hats — that’s government.

    “So don’t be confused,” Obama said, “as frustrated as you are about politics, don’t buy into this notion that somehow government is what’s holding us back.”

    I really agree with what he says. I work every day with government people, almost all of whom are hardworking defenders of our nation. They are trying to do the right thing. They are not the bad guy you hear about in the news. What we’re frustrated with is not government in general, but politicians and bureaucrats. It’s an important distinction to remember.

  • Credit Ratings. I’ve been reading a number of articles on the economic woes: articles on how Washington is destroying the economy. Articles on European woes. Articles on how people are selling stocks and abandoning stock funds. What’s killing the economy, plain and simple, is economic stupidity. People don’t think, and they don’t understand economics. They believe, for example, that countries should be debt-free (which isn’t the case — you want a managable level of debt). They believe that the debt limit is a spending limit (which isn’t the case, appropriations deal with what you spend, the debt limit just ensures you can pay the bills you’ve already said you would pay). They believe that the government’s credit rating somehow affects the credit of businesses, when there’s no connection (often businesses are more reliable than the government, although they can’t print money). They believe that one can reduce debt solely by reducing spending (when in reality, in their own homes, they’re getting second jobs in addition to spending cuts).
  • Who is a Jew. A really interesting article in the WSJ on the Jewish community in China. This community cannot overly practice Judaism because the Chinese government doesn’t recognize it as an official religion, and the Orthodox community in Israel doesn’t recognize them as Jewish because they didn’t follow halacha to the letter (they use patrilineal descent, for example). The people want to be accepted as Jews, but from both sides, the nuances of the law isn’t letting them.
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