Understanding Insurance and the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare)

userpic=moneyLast Monday, while reading a Q&A piece on Obamacare over lunch, one of the comments struck me:

How do I ensure that my current employer-provided plan’s rate does not go up? And if it does, how to I get back to paying my current rate? I refuse to allow my hard-earned money go to pay for other people’s “free” coverage.

Today, while skimming an article about how some people in California are upset at Obamacare over lunch, another line jumped out at me:

“It doesn’t seem right to make the middle class pay so much more in order to give health insurance to everybody else,” she said, in the report. “This increase is simply not affordable.”

Further, I’ve seen numbers of articles where people have complained that the President promised they could keep their old insurance, and that hasn’t turned out to be the case. All of these demonstrate, to me, that people do not understand how insurance works and that people do not understand what Obamacare does (demonstrating again a common complaint: Obamacare has never been explained well). So, without debating the merits or demerits of the law itself, I would like to clarify these misunderstandings.

First, there are many people out in the world who seem to view insurance as a savings account: they put money in for a catastrophic occurrence, and they get their money back if it happens. In reality, insurance is legalized gambling with really odd bets (and if you haven’t read the Art Buchwald piece in that link, read it). Insurance is a bet with the insurance company. If you get really sick, you win, because they pay you out more than you paid in (and thus, you get money from other people). If you are healthy, you lose. Same thing with life insurance: if you die, you win (so to speak, because your family gets money).

Insurance is pooled transfer of risk. Money for catastrophic events is collected by insurance companies from people that might be subject to those events; the amount they charge is based upon the risk that the event might happen (if that can be figured out). The insurance company invests the money (growing it some), and collects a percentage for their costs/profits. What’s left is paid out when events occur.

So when you object that your hard earned money is paying for other’s free coverage, remember there is no such thing as a free lunch. First, the hard earned money of others is paying for your medical coverage when it is above what you pay in premiums. If the other person is paying premiums, their coverage isn’t free. If they are receiving some level of subsidy through the ACA, then the government is supporting paying the premium — but not necessarily you personally, for it could be coming from the various surcharges built into the scheme to cover the subsidies. The ACA was designed to be self-supporting, so these surcharges should cover the subsidies / medicaid expansion.

Let’s now turn to the question about why some people are being moved to pricier polices. The answer is not because they are middle-class, per se. As with anything, there are multiple reasons.

First, the ACA mandates a certain minimal level of coverage, with some minimal level of deductables. It also mandates that certain preventative care options have no co-pays to encourage their use (saving money down the line), that children be covered on their parents policy until they are 26, and that there be no maximum payout caps. Policies that do not meet these minimums (unless they are grandfathered employer policies) have to be withdrawn, and the consumer steered towards policies that meet the minimums. As these policies do more, they cost more. It is these cases where consumers cannot keep their old insurance — in other words, you can’t keep it if it didn’t provide the minimum coverage.

Secondly, in California (and likely other states), the government didn’t want to permit insurance companies to segregate the healthier people from the new people apply for plans (remember what I said before about pooling of risk — they wanted the pool to be greater). Specifically, the state didn’t want to give insurance companies the opportunity to hold on to the healthiest patients for up to a year, keeping them out of the larger risk pool that will influence future rates.

These factors are expressed by the director of Covered California when he states: “People could have kept their cheaper, bad coverage, and those people wouldn’t have been part of the common risk pool.  We are better off all being in this together. We are transforming the individual market and making it better.”  Additionally, the higher rates are partially offset by smaller deductibles, lower limits on out-of-pocket medical expenses in the new plans, and increased no-cost preventative coverage.

Lastly, as for keeping your insurance, that is generally true if it is employer-provided (although employer-provided policies need to meet the same minimums, and some employers are opting for better deals in the individual marketplace). The discussion above is for individual policies. Note that employer-provided polices are seeing premium changes as well for a number of reasons, including the minimum coverage changes as well as the need to avoid being classified as “cadillac” plans for being too expensive.

Now, this post (and any comments with it) is not the place to discuss whether having a minimum level of coverage is right, whether there should be subsidies, or whether the approach taken to fund those subsidies is correct. Suffice it to say that any new law will have problems and require adjustments, and Congress should move past “repeal / defund” and on to keeping what is good and fixing what needs to be fixed. Comments attempting to get into the political debate may be deleted. However, if you have additional examples of people not understanding the ACA (and can post them non-pejoratively), I welcome them.

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Shutdown Day 4: I’m Fed Up

National Lampoon Doguserpic=pastramiAs the shutdown continues, I’m getting fed up. So I think I’ll talk about food:

Oh, and speaking of the shutdown… remember yesterday when I talked about how compromises work? The Dems have agreed to lower the budget figure to $986 billion, the Republicans’ baseline spending level, and begin a conference to delve into exactly where government spending would be cut. This gives the Repubs something they want — a lower budget figure. However, they want the ACA off the table. In other words… the GOP gets something, the Dems get nothing. The GOP response? Nope. We want both the cuts and the ACA killed. This is why the magazine cover will remain until this is resolved.

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Shutdown Observations: Furlough Day 3

National Lampoon Doguserpic=soapboxI just saw an article in the LA Times with the tagline: “House Speaker John Boehner flatly rules out a potential short-term deal to reopen the government, saying it would amount to ‘unconditional surrender.'”

Excuse me?

Since when is this a war?  Since when does the process of running the government mean that one side must win completely, and the other side must lose completely? Mr. Boehner, if that’s what you think that government is, please go back to 4th grade civics class.

The job of Congress is to pass legislation that a majority (or perhaps a super-majority, depending on the bill) must approve. In both houses. Your job, in the House, is to come up with legislation you can convince the Senate to support. Ignore the President in all of this.  Come up with something that can get through the Senate. Newt Gingrich, your hero, said just as much: It has to pass the Senate. The Senate is not going away.

Most important, please remember that compromise means you give up something, and the other side gives up something. You can also look at it as both sides getting something they want, but not everything they want. However, I’m not seeing any evidence that the GOP understands this. They seem to want only what they want, and if they can’t get it, they want more. Already the proposed deal has moved from delaying or defunding Obamacare to delaying or defunding Obamacare AND major budget cuts. That is not compromise. I haven’t seen the House propose a single thing that could be viewed as a plus for the other side. No, saying you’ll cut Obamacare less is not a plus, because you are still cutting it. That’s like saying I’m only going to cut off one hand instead of both.

[Additional Exercise Thoughts: A compromise is shared pain — each side hurts equally, and the other side knows it. The GOP wants the other side to give up (delay or defund) the Affordable Care Act — something very dear to them. In exchange, is the GOP willing to give up on a position equally near and dear to them? Are they willing to agree to make changes in tax laws that increase revenues? Are they willing to pass the Dream Act or help with immigration issues? Are they willing to pass a constitutional amendment guaranteeing the right to an abortion? Are they willing to pass a law making discrimination on the basis of sexual orientation illegal? Any of these would be big concessions from them, potentially equal to asking the Dems to delay or defund the ACA? Are they willing to do this?  Looking from the other side, what the President is proposing — a clean bill at last years levels — is shared pain. The Dems don’t get increases in revenues or increases to support programs, and the sequester cuts remain. The GOP feels equal pain by not getting things they want. One last exercise related thought: If the GOP believes the “shared pain” is the Dems getting the country running again, this is saying that the GOP is putting party principles over the welfare of the nation — they believe that defunding or delaying the ACA is more important than anything else in this country. What does that say about them as a party?]

I’m not saying the Senate is doing much better at negotiation, but there’s not much that they can propose that the House would accept short of completely gutting Obamacare. That’s not going to happen, so they need to figure out something else to negotiate on.

I’ve got this feeling I’m going to have a lot of time to work on the highway pages. 1934, you’re next.

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Shutdown Observations: Furlough Day 2

National Lampoon Doguserpic=rough-roadToday’s been a busy day. No, I haven’t been at work — we’re still furloughed, to the best of my knowledge. Instead, I’ve been working on the highway pages, mostly going through the April 1931 CHPW incorporating the rationale for the routes they added that year… and discovering where I had problems to fix on my pages (the whole relationship between US 60, US 70, US 99, LRN 26, and LRN 77 is odd). So, instead of other news, here are two articles related to the shutdown I found of interest (and linked previously on Facebook):

In terms of shutdown effects, here’s another: The NASA interns in Mountain View were told they had less than 24 hours to get out of their dorms and find someone else to live.

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Solving the Problem in Washington

userpic=bushbabyInsert the parenthesis in the title as you wish.

I was reading the news over lunch, and I’m incensed that the GOP is at it again — this time, attempting to tie repeal of the Affordable Care Act to funding the government. They keep trying to repeal the ACA, and they keep failing. Now the ACA isn’t perfect — even in California, we’re starting to see some of limitations of the approach, but at least it is an attempt to solve the problem.

Perhaps this is why I’m incensed: Instead of saying “Let’s fix the ACA” or “Here’s another way to solve the problem”, the current GOP seems to want to just toss it out, and go back to the old approach for healthcare, which was generally agreed to be problematic.

If the GOP in the House really want to get rid of the ACA, they simply need to propose a plan that:

  • Protects consumers from the abuses of the Insurance Industry — such as the problems with preexisting conditions, coverage denials, and coverage caps
  • Ensures that affordable insurance is available to all citizens of the US
  • Controls healthcare costs (which has a direct impact on the budget)
  • Makes Americans healthier

That’s not much, is it? It is not requiring the US to be the insurer. It is not requiring the US to dictate what is covered or what isn’t. It will require insurers to not be capricious and be focused on health. The four goals above, I believe, were addressed by the ACA. If the GOP wants to get rid of it, propose something better. If you can’t come up with something better, then sit down, shut up, fund the government, and do your job addressing the other problems this Nation faces.

[P.S.: The reason the ACA requires everyone to be covered is not because there is a belief that everyone should be insured. It is because the insurance companies indicated that in order to remove limitations on pre-existing conditions, the pool of people paying premiums had to be larger. Insurance works by having the premiums from the healthy cover the costs for the sick, so if the potentially sick pool is larger, you need more premiums.]

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Things Aren’t Always What They Seem

userpic=obama-supermanA few interesting news analysis pieces are making the point that what you hear in the news is not always what it appears to be:

 

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Election Analysis: Assembly District 45 Special Primary Election

userpic=voteActions often have unintended consequences and costs. Quite a few years ago, everyone wanted term limits because it (supposedly) meant you would not have career politicians, and more people would run for office. Did that happen? Not in your life — we have politicians that just run from office to office. In California, what has happened is that politi-critters do their stints in the state assembly and state senate, and then move to the city councils.

That’s what happened to our state senator: Just reelected to the state senate for his last term, he opted to run for Los Angeles City Council to start over again. He won… leaving a vacant seat in AD45, bringing us a special election a week from Tuesday. [BTW, term limits is also going to bring a sea change to the LA County Board of Supervisors in the next few years] We’ve been getting calls for a few weeks from candidates we don’t know, and I tell them all the same thing: I will do a detailed ballot analysis and make my decision shortly before the election.

That’s this post.

So even though you aren’t in Assembly District 45, you’re the lucky winner of my analysis. The primary election brings us 11 candidates: 7 Democrats, 3 Republicans, and one who has no party preference. What factors will I use to determine things. First, I want a candidate that understands California’s problems — in particular, the issues with transportation infrastructure. I’d like a candidate that acknowledges understanding of cybersecurity issues, as I often see bills in the legislature about that. I’d also like a candidate that understands the valley, and (as they say) “shares my values” (which tend to be progressive Jewish values). In particular, regarding the latter, I don’t want a candidate that will push conservative Christian values. I look at who endorses the candidates: that often shows individuals with whom values and agendas are shared. So let’s look at the candidates:
Read More …

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People Just Don’t Understand

userpic=soapboxWhile eating lunch, my mind kept going back to a post I saw yesterday at lunch from Wil Wheaton titled “How to Turn a Democracy into a STASI Authoritarian State in 10 Steps“. It got me infuriated, because neither the US nor the UK is anywhere near the STASI political apparatus. So I decided to write something up… and then let it sit until the evening were I could review it over dinner. In general, these statements come about because people really don’t know what they are talking about, at least in the detail. So although I don’t know what I’m talking about either, let’s correct what misconceptions I can:

  • Information is not arbitrarily classified for convenience, as Wil’s link implies. Classification requires the original owner of the information to make a determination that release of the information will cause some level of damage to the nation (the level of damage determines the classification). Given that there is a large cost to handling classified information, there is often a push not to classify. However, some cultures and organizations tend to exist in a classified bubble, and routinely classify information when it might not really need it. Often, this is an artifact of poor information technology — if you are working at System High, it is easier to deal with everything classified. Give us true multilevel systems (i.e., systems that can reliably separate data of different levels with appropriate assurance and at reasonable cost), and you’ll likely see stuff float to realistic classifications. But the important takeaway is that information is not classified just to hide it from the public.
  • Understanding classification demonstrates why what Snowden and Manning did was so problematic. It wasn’t per-se the “whistle-blowing” — it was how they did it. If something wrong is being done — where “wrong” is defined as either morally or legally — it should be reported.*  However, the way they did it was a problem. They were not in a position to have the visibility or enterprise view to truly determine the damage the information release could do. They were both low-level. This is not to say that they had to run it up their reporting chain (where it might be suppressed)… but going to the media was the wrong way to do it. They should have gone to their elected representative — House or Senate — to discuss what they were seeing. The representatives are cleared, they have the larger view, and they have the legal and moral obligation to both defend the constitution and defend the nation. Further, there is always someone in Congress just itching to start an investigation of government wrongdoing. Even if you believe in a grand government conspiracy, it is hard to believe all 535 elected congresscritters are equally brainwashed. [ETA: This post shows why what Snowden did was such a problem.]
  • [*: As for whether what has been reported is “wrong”: It may have been legal under some readings of the law. It may even have been in the interest of defending the nation. But at least based on the information disclosed to date, it gives the appearance of being a privacy concern, which is an American issue. Any congresscritter should know that the appearance of wrong can often be worse than anything.]
  • As for the detention of David Miranda — that was the UK’s doing, not the US. The White House had denied it was involved. Of course, Wil doesn’t believe that denial. [ETA: This post (same as above) also shows why Miranda’s detention was not what it appeared to be — that is, the detention of an innocent] This goes to another pet peeve — when did we stop believing our government? There seems to be a belief that all government workers are lazy and inefficient, that all the government does is a lie, that all of government is a waste. This may be an artifact of Vietnam; it may be an artifact of Nixon… but at one point we trusted government, and that trust has been lost and (just like cheating in a relationship) will never return. Part of this problem is Obama’s: Like him or not, he was swept into office on the belief that he was different… that the nation could trust him… and the reality of the position is making him break that trust. He needs to figure out how to regain the high moral ground — and that likely means exerting some moral authority (such as suspending all investigations for a short period except for those revalidated in a normal, non-Secret court, while new privacy protections are put into place).
  • On the other hand, we seem to implicitly trust the motives of big business. I’d be more suspicious of big business (after all, their motive is just to raise the profits for their executives) and less suspicious of government (whose ultimate motive, except for a few bad apples, is protection of the nation — I’ve never seen anyone claim the government is trying to weaken the nation).
  • There seems to be an expectation that government will get it right the first time. Guess what folks… it won’t. Government — as with any bureaucracy — always overreacts. The overreaction is detected, and then overcorrected, and the pendulum swings back and forth, eventually getting closer to right. This happens with everything. In the next year (because government never does anything fast — think about turning a battleship), Congress will work to get privacy restored (although, surprisingly, this will come from the President’s party). Keep up the pressure on your congresscritters.
  • For all the claims that the government has a surveillance state — we don’t (the UK is different, and operates under different rules). Most of the cameras that follow you… are operated by private businesses.  All the tracking of every purchase with a credit card is done by… the banks. All those records of your phone calls… are made by the phone companies. All those requests you make on the internet… by your service providers or Google. The government, if it wants any of that information, must get a request approved (leaving a paper trail) and formally request it. The government, except for the occasional traffic camera, is not watching you. Big Business is (and government is requesting only a small portion of that data). [However… that said, there likely is traffic being monitored directly by the government legally… foreign calls on the international trunk lines… wireless transmissions you are sending unencrypted… and things you do on government websites. [ETA: There are also reports that NSA can supposedly monitor up to 75% of Internet traffic, although it is unlikely to be looking for anything and everything, only specific terms and traffic involving foreign parties — remember, the NSA cannot legally target purely domestic communications by law.]]

There. Now I feel better.

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