People Just Don’t Understand

userpic=soapboxWhile eating lunch, my mind kept going back to a post I saw yesterday at lunch from Wil Wheaton titled “How to Turn a Democracy into a STASI Authoritarian State in 10 Steps“. It got me infuriated, because neither the US nor the UK is anywhere near the STASI political apparatus. So I decided to write something up… and then let it sit until the evening were I could review it over dinner. In general, these statements come about because people really don’t know what they are talking about, at least in the detail. So although I don’t know what I’m talking about either, let’s correct what misconceptions I can:

  • Information is not arbitrarily classified for convenience, as Wil’s link implies. Classification requires the original owner of the information to make a determination that release of the information will cause some level of damage to the nation (the level of damage determines the classification). Given that there is a large cost to handling classified information, there is often a push not to classify. However, some cultures and organizations tend to exist in a classified bubble, and routinely classify information when it might not really need it. Often, this is an artifact of poor information technology — if you are working at System High, it is easier to deal with everything classified. Give us true multilevel systems (i.e., systems that can reliably separate data of different levels with appropriate assurance and at reasonable cost), and you’ll likely see stuff float to realistic classifications. But the important takeaway is that information is not classified just to hide it from the public.
  • Understanding classification demonstrates why what Snowden and Manning did was so problematic. It wasn’t per-se the “whistle-blowing” — it was how they did it. If something wrong is being done — where “wrong” is defined as either morally or legally — it should be reported.*  However, the way they did it was a problem. They were not in a position to have the visibility or enterprise view to truly determine the damage the information release could do. They were both low-level. This is not to say that they had to run it up their reporting chain (where it might be suppressed)… but going to the media was the wrong way to do it. They should have gone to their elected representative — House or Senate — to discuss what they were seeing. The representatives are cleared, they have the larger view, and they have the legal and moral obligation to both defend the constitution and defend the nation. Further, there is always someone in Congress just itching to start an investigation of government wrongdoing. Even if you believe in a grand government conspiracy, it is hard to believe all 535 elected congresscritters are equally brainwashed. [ETA: This post shows why what Snowden did was such a problem.]
  • [*: As for whether what has been reported is “wrong”: It may have been legal under some readings of the law. It may even have been in the interest of defending the nation. But at least based on the information disclosed to date, it gives the appearance of being a privacy concern, which is an American issue. Any congresscritter should know that the appearance of wrong can often be worse than anything.]
  • As for the detention of David Miranda — that was the UK’s doing, not the US. The White House had denied it was involved. Of course, Wil doesn’t believe that denial. [ETA: This post (same as above) also shows why Miranda’s detention was not what it appeared to be — that is, the detention of an innocent] This goes to another pet peeve — when did we stop believing our government? There seems to be a belief that all government workers are lazy and inefficient, that all the government does is a lie, that all of government is a waste. This may be an artifact of Vietnam; it may be an artifact of Nixon… but at one point we trusted government, and that trust has been lost and (just like cheating in a relationship) will never return. Part of this problem is Obama’s: Like him or not, he was swept into office on the belief that he was different… that the nation could trust him… and the reality of the position is making him break that trust. He needs to figure out how to regain the high moral ground — and that likely means exerting some moral authority (such as suspending all investigations for a short period except for those revalidated in a normal, non-Secret court, while new privacy protections are put into place).
  • On the other hand, we seem to implicitly trust the motives of big business. I’d be more suspicious of big business (after all, their motive is just to raise the profits for their executives) and less suspicious of government (whose ultimate motive, except for a few bad apples, is protection of the nation — I’ve never seen anyone claim the government is trying to weaken the nation).
  • There seems to be an expectation that government will get it right the first time. Guess what folks… it won’t. Government — as with any bureaucracy — always overreacts. The overreaction is detected, and then overcorrected, and the pendulum swings back and forth, eventually getting closer to right. This happens with everything. In the next year (because government never does anything fast — think about turning a battleship), Congress will work to get privacy restored (although, surprisingly, this will come from the President’s party). Keep up the pressure on your congresscritters.
  • For all the claims that the government has a surveillance state — we don’t (the UK is different, and operates under different rules). Most of the cameras that follow you… are operated by private businesses.  All the tracking of every purchase with a credit card is done by… the banks. All those records of your phone calls… are made by the phone companies. All those requests you make on the internet… by your service providers or Google. The government, if it wants any of that information, must get a request approved (leaving a paper trail) and formally request it. The government, except for the occasional traffic camera, is not watching you. Big Business is (and government is requesting only a small portion of that data). [However… that said, there likely is traffic being monitored directly by the government legally… foreign calls on the international trunk lines… wireless transmissions you are sending unencrypted… and things you do on government websites. [ETA: There are also reports that NSA can supposedly monitor up to 75% of Internet traffic, although it is unlikely to be looking for anything and everything, only specific terms and traffic involving foreign parties — remember, the NSA cannot legally target purely domestic communications by law.]]

There. Now I feel better.

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Shooting Themselves in the Foot

userpic=bushbabyAs usual, while I ate lunch today I skimmed the news. Sigh. The Republicans are shooting themselves in the foot again.

Let me start over. If you know me at all, you know I’m a dyed-in-the-wool Humphrey-ite Democrat. No, that’s not the same thing as being a socialist :-). Still, I think it is important to have a healthy multi-party system in this country — debate on issues is important, and working to find compromise between parties can prevent abuses and find better solutions.

As I result, I’d like to see a healthy, functional, Republican party. Alas, (shakes his head) I read articles such as this: “Obama Proposes Surveillance-Policy Overhaul“, and… sigh… This whole NSA kurfluffle is one place where the Republicans can gain votes. They can jump on their long-time bandwagon of smaller government, and get the government out of this area. They can argue this is unnecessary government intrusion (hell, you know they would complain if it is was being used against conservative groups). Instead, what do we get? Quoting from the article:

In an early indication of the difficulty ahead, some Republicans who have been defending the NSA surveillance program lambasted the president. Rep. Pete King (R., N.Y.), a senior member of the House Intelligence Committee, called the president’s announcement “a monumental failure” of wartime leadership.

“We need a president who defends our intelligence programs, explains them appropriately to the American people, and uses every legal capability in his arsenal to defeat al Qaeda,” Mr. King said.

A spokesman for House Speaker John Boehner (R., Ohio) criticized Mr. Obama for inadequately defending the programs. “Transparency is important, but we expect the White House to insist that no reform will compromise the operational integrity of the program,” said spokesman Brendan Buck.

So here is the President arguing for more transparency in the process, for a privacy advocate (yes, it’s not everything, but, c’mon, the guy’s not superman). What do we get from the Republicans? An argument to keep up the spying.

This is yet another example of how the Republican party can’t seem to get their act together — they are being torn apart by various internal factions that is destroying their former effectiveness. They only thing they seem to be able to do is vote to repeal Obamacare.  Further, all the attention they get is from overreaction on social issues from a few individuals and states that opens the entire party to ridicule by connection. My advice — get ahead of the game. Show that you can solve problems and lead — the Republican way. Figure out how to propose solutions that are palatable to enough of congress to get it through both houses, and convince the President that your way is acceptable. Lead the way on immigration reform. Lead the way on restoring civil liberties. Lead the way on creating a health-care system that works (that that means fixing, not repealing, Obamacare).

Now, personally, I’d be happy if a strong Democratic candidate won in 2016, and if the Republican partisianship led to Democrats retaking the house in 2014. But for the country’s sake, we Democrats can’t do it alone. Republicans — please — get your act together and learn to lead.

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Catching Up With The Times

userpic=cardboard-safeLate last week, I wrote an article about the NSA in which I noted that we are dealing with a Congress that doesn’t understand technology, and laws that were made for a different time and different technology (at least when understanding what search and seizure mean). Today there was an article in Slashdot that made an even more important point:

John Naughton writes in the Guardian that the insight that seems to have escaped most of the world’s mainstream media regarding the revelations from Edward Snowden is how the US has been able to bend nine US internet companies to its demands for access to their users’ data proving that no US-based internet company can be trusted to protect our privacy or data. ‘The fact is that Google, Facebook, Yahoo, Amazon, Apple and Microsoft are all integral components of the US cyber-surveillance system,’ writes Naughton. ‘Nothing, but nothing, that is stored in their “cloud” services can be guaranteed to be safe from surveillance or from illicit downloading by employees of the consultancies employed by the NSA.’ This spells the end of the internet as a truly global network. ‘It was always a possibility that the system would eventually be Balkanised, ie divided into a number of geographical or jurisdiction-determined subnets as societies such as China, Russia, Iran and other Islamic states decided that they needed to control how their citizens communicated. Now, Balkanisation is a certainty.’

The point made here is the statement that the Internet is a truly global network. What’s the problem? Let me tell you.

America’s laws… and America’s security structures and organizations… are based essentially in the period immediately after WWII. 1947 is when the NSA was created. Back then, communication was primarily domestic — there were clear international paths for the NSA to monitor to protect the country. Fast forward to today. We’re dealing with multinational communications companies located who knows where, governed by who knows what laws, handling data from all across the globe. Any Internet traffic stream may contain not only packets traversing from a domestic computer to a domestic computer, but international to international and international to domestic. Further, transportation has made the world smaller, and there are more and more foreign (i.e., non-US) visitors and workers in the US (both legally and illegally). Now imagine you are an agency (such as the NSA) charged with monitoring International traffic — what do you do? Yup. Supposed you are the FBI monitoring international traffic to fight against illegally trafficed material? There is no longer an easy way to just get the data you want from the information stream. You end up collecting it all, and attempting to find that needle in the haystack later.

Understanding this is key to solving the problem. We can see how we got into the legal boat we are in — it is easy to see the arguments that were made to Congress, and how they misunderstood what they were authorizing. Instead of complaining that we are in a “big brother” state and the government is out to get us (which is a lot of what I see), what we need to do is simple.

1. Educate our representatives and leaders about the technology so they understand that which about they are writing laws.

2. Vote for people who understand and agree to work to move the pendulum back to protecting privacy in the new global society. The pendulum swings between being overly secure and not. We just have to keep working to get it right.

3. Stop electing the lawyers and partisans. Let’s get some people who actually understand technology and know how to think critically elected.

The problems we are dealing with here took many years to get to this point. We’re not going to fix them overnight. Slow and steady education… and, as I’ve said before, understanding that we are not dealing with evil, we’re dealing with stupidity and bureaurcracy. If you want evil, look at those multinational corporations.

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The Hazards of Fame

userpic=obama-supermanToday’s post brings together three articles, all loosely connected regarding the hazards of fame:

Music: Welcome to the Club (1989 Original Broadway Cast): “Southern Comfort”

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It’s a Scandal, It’s an Outrage

userpic=obama-supermanReading the papers over lunch, I’m seeing all sort of scandals and outrage over the behavior of the White House. But are they really scandals? Is the noise and froth directed at the right place? Read on, McDuff…

  • The IRS Scandal. Lots of heat and noise on this one, including calls for firing and jail time. But is the outrage really correct? The scandal really isn’t what you think it is. What happened was this: the tax code permits social welfare groups to hide their donors and get tax deductability (these are 501c(4) organizations; most of the charities you know are 501c(3)) [Clarification: What 501c(4) organizations permit is hiding the source of funds, which can then be used as funds for a third organization, hiding the origin. They can also accept donations, without having to then declare those donations as income (and thus, presumably pay taxes on that income).]. After the Citizens United decision, a number of groups decided to go after 501c(4) status — so many, in fact, that they overwhelmed the capacity of the IRS to ensure they were social welfare and not political groups.  The “scandal” is really an approach the IRS took to try and get a handle on ensuring the law was met, as the bulk of the organizations applying for the status were tea-party-ish. Was that IRS office wrong in doing this? Yes. It should look at all organizations. Should Obama fire people over this? Yes, but he can’t, because he can only fire appointees and none of his appointees have been approved — perhaps Congress should approve the acting person just so they can fire him. Where is the “scandal”? The real scandal here — and the one that is not being reported — is that these quasi-political organization get tax deductability in the first place social welfare organizations can get tax free income, hide the donors, and then use that money for political purposes. How do we advance the goals of doing good for society (for which tax deductability exempting donated income from tax may be reasonable) without permitting influence in the political arena (which is increasingly hard in this day where advocacy on social positions is polarized on political lines)?
  • The Benghazi Scandal. This is something that seems to be a problem solely for the GOP, who want to use it for political purposes to hurt Hilary. I don’t believe there was anything criminal (in the sense of prosecution) here — there were lapses of intelligence and lapses of judgement, but that is part of politics. I don’t think we’ve had a recent President who hasn’t had to deal with intelligence lapses and making bad judgement calls. Do we need to investigate this? Yes, but solely to identify what the process problems were and how to fix them for the future. Anything else is a waste of money.
  • The DOJ Phone Records Scandal. Of all the scandals, perhaps this is the most scandalous. The problem was that the DOJ had a serious leak, but the method they used to investigate the leak simply was inappropriate. Again, this doesn’t look like something the President directed, so there simply needs to be an investigate to figure out who made the bad judgement calls, and to get that person looking for a new job.

What’s sad is that all of this “scandal and outrage” (does anyone recall the source of that line) is diverting attention from some significant news: The Federal Deficit is shrinking. This is what people have been pushing for since Obama was elected. Specifically, the federal deficit is shrinking more quickly than expected, and the government’s long-term debt has largely stabilized for the next decade, according to the CBO. The deficit projection for this year — $642 billion — is almost 25% less than the deficit the CBO had forecast as recently as February. At the new level, the annual deficit would be back to where it was before President Obama took office. It would continue to fall for the rest of Obama’s tenure, the budget office now projects. By contrast, the deficit for fiscal year 2012 came in at just over $1 trillion. The federal government’s annual deficit this year amounts to about 7% of the gross domestic product. By 2015, the budget office forecasts, the deficit will fall to just over 2% of GDP, a level that most economists would consider relatively insignificant. At that point, the deficit would begin to climb slowly again, reaching about 3.5% of GDP by the end of the decade.

The articles talk about the deficit, not the debt, so this means the debt is still increasing. Yes, folks, this is where calculus comes into play in real life, for the deficit is (essentially) a measure of the rate of change of the debt (it’s actually the amount of change, but you can easily convert that to a rate). Aren’t you glad you paid attention in Math 31A?

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Election Analysis: Los Angeles Municipal Election 5/21/13

userpic=voteFor the last few weeks, my phone has been ringing off the hook with calls from home remodeling outfits, solar electricity salescritters, offers to reduce my loan rate, null calls, … and pollsters. The pollsters all want to know how I’m going to vote in the upcoming municipal Los Angeles election, and I tell them all the same thing: I start each election fresh, and make up my mind after I’ve received the sample ballot and after I’ve done an analysis of the candidates and their positions. Well this week I received my sample ballot, so it is now time to do the analysis.

Los Angeles Mayor: Greuel vs. Garcetti

This is the big race: electing someone to replace Antonio Villaraigosa, who has been a so-so mayor for Los Angeles (his only real positive legacy is in the area of transportation). After an interesting primary election, the field has been narrowed down to two candidates: Eric Garcetti and Wendy Greuel. Both candidates are very similar, and truth be told, Los Angeles will have a good leader no matter which of the two wins. This is a good position to be in.

Garcetti is the current council member for District 13 in the Hollywood area. Greuel is a former council member, and current Los Angeles City controller. A recent LA Times article noted they have similar records, but very different styles. Garcetti grew up in the Valley, moved away from LA, and now resides and associates with the hipster communities in Hollywood, Silverlake, and Echo Park. He is a skilled pianist who recently jammed at a fundraiser with Moby; his father is former Los Angeles DA Gil Garcetti. He attended the private Harvard-Westlake High School. Greuel is more down-to-earth. She was born in the Valley, and has lived in the Valley all her life. She drives a hybrid SUV, favors modest skirt suits and marks snack duty for her son’s soccer games on her official city calendar. She enjoys listening to Elton John. Her family has run a building supply store in North Hollywood, and she’s an alumna of Kennedy High School in Granada Hills. I think in terms of personal style and background, I’d have to give the point to Gruel.

Endorsement-wise, they’ve been battling for endorsements. Garcetti has the support of the LA Times and the Daily Bruin, of councilmembers such as Ruth Galanter, Yvonne Braithwaite Burke, Jan Perry and Emanuel Pleitez (both candidates in the primary), a number of unions including the California Federation of Teachers, numerous actors and leaders, and the sole republican candidate for Mayor, Kevin James. Greuel has an equal number of name supporters, including Bill Clinton, Barbara Boxer, Nancy Pelosi, Richard Riorden (the former mayor), loads of congress and assembly people, and most notably, the public utility unions. In fact, most of the unions support Greuel, with the notable exception being the Teacher’s union (so the LAUSD board is behind Greuel, and the teachers behind Garcetti). The troubling aspects here are the LA DWP unions, which have held a bit too much power in the city…. but the teachers are behind Garcetti. Which union wields its power for good, and which for evil. Right now, on the endorsement side, I’m giving the point to Garcetti, but it really is a split decision.

Let’s look at some other issues. Garcetti has had some troubling issues with conflicts of interest, and specifically not recusing or admitting when those conflicts existed. This occurred both in the Clear Channel vote and ownership interests in leases under Beverly Hills High School. Greuel has also had conflicts of interest. I do think Greuel will be more fiscally responsible. Both support tunnels under the Sepulveda Pass for transit (like that will ever happen). Greuel supports the LAX modernization plan that will drastically impact Westchester; Garcetti is opposed to it.  Although I agree somewhat with Garcetti regarding LAX, the other issues here make me lean towards Greuel. Again, a split decision, this time with a leaning towards Greuel.

I think it boils down to issues and vision. Here I’m leaning like I did with John Anderson — going for the candidate that clearly articulates their vision the best. The point here is clearly Greuel’s. She’s sent out a booklet to all voters detailing her positions, and she has a clear summary on her website of all her positions. Garcetti only has a few positions on his website. Further, I like how Greuel is emphasizing jobs and transportion issues, and looks to be emphasizing growing technology jobs.  She has the right ideas regarding schools (and more importantly, has experience with the LA Unified Public Schools). She’ll also, I feel, understand the needs of the valley better.

In the primary, Greuel was initially my favorite, but my analysis swayed me towards Perry. At the last minute, transit issues switched me to Garcetti. Looking again at the two contenders, I’m still mostly in the middle, but leaning slightly towards Greuel. I think she’s more like the people of the city, and less of a hipster looking for status (which was one of the current mayor’s problems).

Conclusion: Wendy Greuel.

City Attorney: Trutanich vs. Feuer

Yet another epic battle, this time between the current city attorney Carmen “Nuch” Trutanich and termed-out assemblycritter Mike Feuer. I remember when Trutanich ran the first time on a strong law and order campaign, and then lost the faith of the city by then running for District Attorney before his first term was even out. Feuer, who has the endorsement of the LA Times, is attempting to stay in politics after being termed-out at the state level.

Endorsement-wise, Nuch has the sheriff, a former city attorney, Riordan, and some councilcritters and unions behind him. Feuer has even more supporters, including all the major papers, lots of local and national leaders, and loads of unions and law enforcement.

Looking at the positions of the two candidates, Feuer has a much more detailed statement of positions on the issues than does Nuch, who really only has three short videos detailing his positions.

In short, I don’t believe Nuch (Trutanich) has proven himself a successful city attorney deserving of a second term. I think Feuer will do a better job. This was my conclusion in the primary as well.

Conclusion: Mike Feuer.

City Controller: Galperin vs. Zine

This contest is between a current city councilman/reserve police officer, Dennis Zine, vs. an efficiency commissioner and businessman, Ron Galperin. The analysis I did at the primary showed that  although Zine is a good man, his focus is not financial but law and order. Galperin has a fiscal focus that is important in the city controller.

Looking at the issues again, I see that Galperin still has the endorsements of the major papers, many congresscritters, former Mayor Riorden, Kevin James, loads of unions, and all the Democratic clubs. Zine’s endorsements are primarily law enforcement unions plus citycouncil members and other political leaders. It almost looks like city leaders are endorsing Zine, and those whose oxen wouldn’t be gored by an investigation are endorsing Galperin.

More important to me is constrasting the background of Zine vs. Galperin. Zine’s emphasis throughout his career has been law enforcement and law and order. Fiscal responsibility and efficiency has been there, but in the background. Galperin, on the other hand, has been focused on the financial and fiscal aspects, looking into how to do more with less. In this era where flat budgets are considered the new norm, we need that financial focus.

Conclusion: Ron Galperin.

Los Angeles Community College District, Seat Nº 6: Pearlman vs Vela

In the primary, there were four candidates: Tom Oliver, Nancy Pearlman, Michael Aldapa, and David Vela. The LA Times endorsed Oliver. Only Oliver and Pearlman had real websites. Oliver is a past college president, but his issues statement focuses on student improvement. Pearlman doesn’t have that focus, and continues to support the problematic building program.

Now it is Pearlman vs. Vela. Vela now has a website, and the endorsement of the Democratic party and labor, among others. Pearlman’s website is much less polished, doesn’t detail her positions, and even pimps her cabin in the woods. She does, however, have an impressive list of endorsements. The Times has endorsed Pearlman, stating that she has better experience and goals than does Vela.

Contrasting their backgrounds, Pearlman doesn’t bring much to the table other than currently being involved in the issues. Vela brings a lot, but little is educated related.

Conclusion: Nancy Pearlman, solely on the strength of the Times recommendation.

Measure C: Resolution Regarding Rights of Corporations

This is an advisory resolution that there should be limits on political campaign spending, and that corporations should not have the constitutional rights of human beings. It simply encourages congress to pass a constitutional amendment.

Conclusion: For.

Measures D, E, F: Competing Medical Marijuana Proposals

The state long ago approved medical marijuana, but left it up to the cities to regulate the cooperatives. Los Angeles has totally screwed up doing this, resulting in the mess we see in the ballot today.  What happened is there was a plan in place before 2007 and a number of coops followed it. Then in 2007 that plan was set aside and pot shops proliferated. The city then tried to close them all down. The CSUN Daily Sundial has a good analysis of the issue.

Measure D basically limits the establishments to those approved before 2007 (about 135), increases the taxes, and defines rules for those establishments. Measure E roughly does the same thing, and the people who supported E have moved their support to D (E was an initiative, D from the city council). F establishes no limits on the number of establishments, but does increase taxes and puts in some quality rules.

Both of the papers have come out in favor of D. My initial thought was to vote yes on all of them. However, after reading more, D seems the best of the three.

Conclusion: Yes on Measure D; No on Measures E and F.

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I’m Mad as Hell, and I’m Not Going To Take It Anymore

userpic=political-signsOK, I’ve had it.

I’ve had it with the partisanship of politics — people unable to compromise for the good of the country… people thinking only of their party first, and the country second.

I’ve had it with people putting down solutions without proposing something better. Fine, so you don’t like Obamacare. Before you do a blanket repeal, how about proposing something that achieves the same goals in a better way. For example, if we are to get truly affordable health care, how about we standardize and control the costs of health care. If users of health care were charged the actual cost plus a reasonable profit — across all users, instead of the inflated and arbitrary costs that are done today, we would probably see a net lowering of costs. We should limit insurance companies to reasonable profit, and insist that executives thereof make no money than the doctors.

I’ve had it with how we treat the defense industry. I’ve been working in the defense industry for over 25 years. We’ve gotten so dysfunctional with our budgeting processes that it actually costs more money to make things. Companies cannot plan effectively without a long term funding plan.

I’ve had it with a government that is not serious about cybersecurity. This is true not only at the Federal level, but at the state and city level. We need to ensure there are state procedures to protect all the information collected by the state. The approaches currently taken by the state legislature are a joke; we need people knowledgeable about cybersecurity in charge.

The state needs to do something to repair its crumbling infrastructure. Our road system, which is the backbone of commerce in the state, is crumbling. Bridges and other structures are in disrepair, and it takes far too long to get anything fixed. Further, if we’re going to be spending money on transit, it needs to be on modalities that will be used, are cost effective, and that cover movement of people where they need to move.

I’ve long believed that complaining about a problem is not the way to solve a problem. Given the effects of the sequester, now is as good of a time to do something about it as any. There are cutbacks going on, and everyone is running scared. Further, my state senator just won election to the LA City Council. So, starting today, I’m going to explore running for public office for my state senate district. Anyone want to help? What’s the first step? According to the website, I either need to pay a filing fee of around $960 or collect 3,000 signatures. I also need to file some statements of intent and open a campaign account. I’ll need money. I’m horrible at rubber chicken dinners and fundraising. I wonder if I could use Kickstarter? I could offer some wonderful patronage positions as incentives.

Music: Sammy Davis, Jr. Greatest Hits (Sammy Davis Jr.): “What Kind Of Fool Am I”

 

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Pea Soup and Politics: Political News Chum over Lunch

userpic=political-buttonsAs I sit eating my lunch, I’m looking at my collected links to see if there are any themes calling out to me. One that is saying “pick me” has to do with politics, so let’s run with it:

  • Guns and Extremism. CNN is reporting that the number of American “patriot” extremist groups has reached a record level, according to a new study, and experts are warning of a wave of anti-government violence. We saw this somewhat when the tea party started, and the trend has been growing (especially as seen by the attitudes of the trolls commenting on news articles). The report, which was from the Southern Poverty Law Center, counted 1,360 “patriot” extremist groups in 2012 — up by 7% from 2011. The study defines patriot groups as anti-government militias driven by their fear that authorities will strip them of their guns and liberties. Now, combine this with another story: gun ownership has declined in a number of groups — less people are hunting, less Democrats own guns, less Latinos own guns, less young people own guns. So who is buying all the guns? Put 2 and 2 together. I’d ask who you fear more: the government or extremist groups, but that would be fodder for a comment war. I could raise hackles by asking if the Illuminati was behind the rise in fnord the extremist groups, but that would never happen. Just remember them, the mgt. does not want you to spit on the floor.
  • A Budget Plan. Of course, when we talk of extremist groups, our thoughts naturally turn to (insert your favorite here). Now, if we were talking budget extremists, I’m sure we’d all have the same answer: Paul Ryan. He’s proposed a new budget in the house, which is probably a non-starter. This budget would, among other things, turn Medicare into a voucher system for those born after 1959, eliminate the Alternative Minimum Tax (initially created to ensure the wealthy would pay at least some share of taxes), and repeal all of the Affordable Care Act, except for its changes to Medicare. It would reduce the tax brackets to two: 10% and 25%. It would increase defense spending. The Democrats in the Senate are developing their own proposal. Why are they doing this? Well, if they pass something in a house by April 15, they get their paychecks. My thoughts: both are posturing budgets intended to state their positions and please the party faithful. If they were truly interested in getting this country back on the right track, they would develop a position that they knew would pass and represented a compromise between the party positions. But that’s not what either side wants: they want to please their faithful so they get re-elected, and please their donors to they successfully fund-raise.
  • Zero Tolerance Rules. Last week there was a discussion on Facebook about a student who had a roll, and pretended it was a gun… and got expelled. The poster blamed Democrats and other Socialists for this, when the real flaw was the zero-tolerance rules in the schools. In response to this, in Maryland, a law has been proposed that will relax the zero-tolerance stance to something more sensical. The preamble notes that the law is “for the purpose of prohibiting a principal from suspending or expelling a student who brings to school or possesses on school property a picture of a gun, a computer image of a gun, a facsimile of a gun, or any other object that resembles a gun but serves another purpose; prohibiting a principal from suspending or expelling a student who makes a hand shape or gesture resembling a gun…”. You get the idea. I’ve always thought zero-tolerance laws were poor substitutes for judgement, be they for guns or drugs (where students have gotten into trouble for Tylenol or allergy meds).
  • Facing the Threat. In our last political article, a recent report to Congress notes that Cybercrime is our greatest intelligence threat. This comes as no surprise to me, although it might to you. I mention it here because of the earlier mention of the Ryan budget proposal increasing defense spending. Before we increase defense spending (which is usually done just to fund unnecessary port), perhaps we should re-prioritize defense spending to spend the money where it can best counter the threat. The traditional ways of countering threats — grunts on the ground, large navy flotillas, aircraft designed for air-to-air combat — are probably inappropriate for today’s threat. Spending funds instead to increase cyber-defense and cyber-capabilities (including efforts to get students into those fields in school), as well as better and smarter use of technology with redundant heterogeneous pathways, is probably a better expenditure given what was described in the LA Times article.

P.S.: So the Vatican has locked all of the Cardinals (except those from St. Louis) being closed doors. Wouldn’t it be nice if they could just leave them locked in there? 🙂

Music: Gateway Singers … at the Hungry i (Gateway Singers): “Three Israeli Folk Songs”

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